CIE IAL · Mathematics · 9709 P5 · Probability
Topic Questions: • calculate and use conditional probabilities in simple cases — 9709 P5 Probability
69 9709 P5 Probability topic questions are tagged to this syllabus point across 46 papers (2020–2026). Only the parts whose knowledge graph matches this syllabus statement are counted, and the table shows which parts of each question are involved.
Core finding
This Probability syllabus point appears in 46 9709 P5 papers across 2020–2026, contributing 69 topic questions and 201 marks. The most recent appearance is 9709/51 May/June 2026. That equals 34.7% of the 199 topic questions and 37.2% of the 541 marks tagged to Probability. Only parts tagged to this subtopic are counted, so a four-part question can contribute one item and one part's marks. The table lists every matching question, its tagged parts and marks, with a link back to the paper page. Sessions are newest first, so the statement can be traced back through the full paper history.
Topic questions by session
Newest sessions first. Parts and marks count only the parts tagged to this subtopic; “x of y parts” shows how much of the question is tagged elsewhere. Select the paper cell to open the matching question on the paper page, or use Go to Practice Hub to answer that exact question in the Interactive Practice Hub.
| Paper | Question | Type | Parts | Marks | Difficulty | Practice |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9709/51May/June 2026 · CIE IAL | Q2 Student Subject Contingency Table - CIE A-Level Maths 2023 |
FRQ | 1 of 4 parts ((c)) | 1 of 5 on the paper |
Easy | Go to Practice Hub |
| 9709/52May/June 2026 · CIE IAL | Q5 Pen Selection Conditional Probability - CIE Mathematics 2024 Q5 |
FRQ | 2 of 3 parts ((b), (c)) | 6 of 7 on the paper |
Medium | Go to Practice Hub |
| 9709/53May/June 2026 · CIE IAL | Q4 Coin Toss and Bag Disc Selection Tree Diagram - CIE A Level Mathematics 2026 Q4 |
FRQ | 1 of 3 parts ((c)) | 4 of 9 on the paper |
Medium | Go to Practice Hub |
| 9709/55May/June 2026 · CIE IAL | Q3 Conditional Probabilities of Drink and Cake Choice - CIE A Level Maths 2026 Q3 |
FRQ | 1 of 2 parts ((b)) | 3 of 5 on the paper |
Easy | Go to Practice Hub |
| 9709/52March 2026 · CIE IAL | Q5 Driving Qualification Tests - CIE 9709 S1 2026 Mar Paper 52 Q5 |
FRQ | 1 of 4 parts ((d)) | 3 of 9 on the paper |
Easy | Go to Practice Hub |
| 9709/51October/November 2025 · CIE IAL | Q1 Discrete Random Variable - CIE A-Level Maths 2025 Nov Paper 51 Q1 |
FRQ | 1 of 3 parts ((c)) | 2 of 6 on the paper |
Easy | Go to Practice Hub |
| 9709/51October/November 2025 · CIE IAL | Q4 Marbles Selection Tree Diagram - CIE A-Level Maths 2025 Nov Paper 51 Q4 |
FRQ | 1 of 2 parts ((a)) | 3 of 5 on the paper |
Medium | Go to Practice Hub |
| 9709/53October/November 2025 · CIE IAL | Q5 Marbles and Counters Tree Diagram - CIE 9709 2025 Nov Paper 53 Q5 |
FRQ | 3 parts ((a), (b), (c)) | 8 | Medium | Go to Practice Hub |
| 9709/55October/November 2025 · CIE IAL | Q3 Probability Tree Diagram Discs - CIE 9709 Nov 2025 Paper 55 Q3 |
FRQ | 1 of 3 parts ((c)) | 4 of 8 on the paper |
Easy | Go to Practice Hub |
| 9709/51May/June 2025 · CIE IAL | Q6 Probability Distribution of Blue Marbles - CIE S1 Q6 |
FRQ | 1 of 3 parts ((c)) | 3 of 9 on the paper |
Easy | Go to Practice Hub |
| 9709/52May/June 2025 · CIE IAL | Q3 Marble Selection Probability - CIE A-Level Mathematics 2025 Jun Paper 52 Q3 |
FRQ | 1 of 2 parts ((b)) | 3 of 5 on the paper |
Easy | Go to Practice Hub |
| 9709/53May/June 2025 · CIE IAL | Q5 Two Bags Marble Selection Tree Diagram - CIE A Level Mathematics 2025 Jun Paper 53 Q5 |
FRQ | 2 of 3 parts ((a), (c)) | 6 of 8 on the paper |
Easy | Go to Practice Hub |
| 9709/55May/June 2025 · CIE IAL | Q4 College Entrance Test Probabilities - CIE A Level Mathematics 2025 June Paper 55 Q4 |
FRQ | 1 of 4 parts ((c)) | 3 of 9 on the paper |
Easy | Go to Practice Hub |
| 9709/51October/November 2024 · CIE IAL | Q4 Biased Coin and Marble Probability - CIE A-Level Maths 2024 Nov Paper 51 Q4 |
FRQ | 2 parts ((a), (b)) | 6 | Medium | Go to Practice Hub |
| 9709/52October/November 2024 · CIE IAL | Q1 Conditional Probability and Binomial Distribution - CIE S1 |
FRQ | 2 of 4 parts ((a), (b)) | 2 of 6 on the paper |
Easy | Go to Practice Hub |
| 9709/53October/November 2024 · CIE IAL | Q5 Foil Wrapped Chocolates Probabilities - CIE S1 |
FRQ | 1 of 3 parts ((c)) | 5 of 10 on the paper |
Easy | Go to Practice Hub |
| 9709/52May/June 2024 · CIE IAL | Q2 Biased Coin and Marble Selection - CIE 9709 S1 2024 Jun Q2 |
FRQ | 2 parts ((a), (b)) | 5 | Medium | Go to Practice Hub |
| 9709/53May/June 2024 · CIE IAL | Q1 Fair Six-Sided Dice Total Score - CIE A-Level Maths 2024 Jun Paper 53 Q1 |
FRQ | 1 of 3 parts ((c)) | 2 of 8 on the paper |
Easy | Go to Practice Hub |
| 9709/53May/June 2024 · CIE IAL | Q3 Colored Balls Tree Diagram - CIE A-Level Maths 2024 Jun Paper 53 Q3 |
FRQ | 1 of 2 parts ((a)) | 4 of 7 on the paper |
Easy | Go to Practice Hub |
| 9709/52March 2024 · CIE IAL | Q1 Probability of Marbles Selection - CIE A Level Maths 2024 Mar Paper 52 Q1 |
FRQ | 1 of 2 parts ((b)) | 3 of 4 on the paper |
Easy | Go to Practice Hub |
| 9709/51October/November 2023 · CIE IAL | Q5 Spinner Discrete Probability Distribution - CIE 9709 Nov 2023 Paper 51 Q5 |
FRQ | 1 of 3 parts ((c)) | 5 of 9 on the paper |
Easy | Go to Practice Hub |
| 9709/52October/November 2023 · CIE IAL | Q6 Freddie's Two Bags Marbles - CAIE A-Level Mathematics Q6 |
FRQ | 2 of 3 parts ((a), (c)) | 5 of 9 on the paper |
Medium | Go to Practice Hub |
| 9709/53October/November 2023 · CIE IAL | Q3 Probability with Dice and Marble Bags - CIE Mathematics 2023 Nov Paper 53 Q3 |
FRQ | 1 of 2 parts ((b)) | 4 of 7 on the paper |
Medium | Go to Practice Hub |
| 9709/51May/June 2023 · CIE IAL | Q3 Letter Permutations and Conditional Probability - CIE S1 2023 Jun Q3 |
FRQ | 1 of 3 parts ((c)) | 3 of 6 on the paper |
Easy | Go to Practice Hub |
| 9709/52May/June 2023 · CIE IAL | Q4 Spinner Game and Distributions - CIE Mathematics 2023 Jun Paper 52 Q4 |
FRQ | 1 of 4 parts ((c)) | 3 of 9 on the paper |
Medium | Go to Practice Hub |
| 9709/53May/June 2023 · CIE IAL | Q5 Independence of Two Events in Dice Throwing - CIE A Level Mathematics |
FRQ | 1 of 2 parts ((b)) | 3 of 7 on the paper |
Medium | Go to Practice Hub |
| 9709/52March 2023 · CIE IAL | Q4 Aran's Hat and Scarf Probability - CIE A Level Maths 2023 Mar Paper 52 Q4 |
FRQ | 1 part | 3 | Medium | Go to Practice Hub |
| 9709/51October/November 2022 · CIE IAL | Q5 Die Rolling Game Probability - CIE S1 2022 Nov Paper 51 Q5 |
FRQ | 1 of 4 parts ((d)) | 3 of 10 on the paper |
Easy | Go to Practice Hub |
| 9709/52October/November 2022 · CIE IAL | Q1 Kino's Travel to School - CIE A Level Maths 2022 Nov Paper 52 Q1 |
FRQ | 2 parts ((a), (b)) | 5 | Easy | Go to Practice Hub |
| 9709/52October/November 2022 · CIE IAL | Q5 Biased and Unbiased Coins Probability - CIE A Level Maths 2022 Nov Paper 52 Q5 |
FRQ | 1 of 3 parts ((b)) | 2 of 7 on the paper |
Medium | Go to Practice Hub |
| 9709/53October/November 2022 · CIE IAL | Q7 Disc Game Probabilities - CIE 9709 Nov 2022 Paper 53 Q7 |
FRQ | 3 parts ((a), (b), (c)) | 8 | Medium | Go to Practice Hub |
| 9709/51May/June 2022 · CIE IAL | Q6 Computer Game Probability and Conditional Probability - CIE Mathematics 2022 Jun Paper 51 Q6 |
FRQ | 1 of 3 parts ((c)) | 4 of 8 on the paper |
Easy | Go to Practice Hub |
| 9709/52May/June 2022 · CIE IAL | Q7 Chocolate Sweet Colors Probability - CIE 9709 Statistics 1 2022 Jun Paper 52 Q7 |
FRQ | 1 of 3 parts ((b)) | 2 of 9 on the paper |
Medium | Go to Practice Hub |
| 9709/53May/June 2022 · CIE IAL | Q6 Conditional Probability and Long Jump Success - CIE A Level Maths 2022 Jun P53 Q6 |
FRQ | 3 parts ((a), (b), (c)) | 10 | Medium | Go to Practice Hub |
| 9709/52March 2022 · CIE IAL | Q6 Chocolate Selection Probabilities - CIE 9709 S1 2022 Mar Paper 52 Q6 |
FRQ | 1 of 5 parts ((e)) | 4 of 12 on the paper |
Easy | Go to Practice Hub |
| 9709/51October/November 2021 · CIE IAL | Q3 Bedtime Drink and Biscuit Probability - CIE A-Level Maths 2021 Q3 |
FRQ | 1 part | 5 | Medium | Go to Practice Hub |
| 9709/52October/November 2021 · CIE IAL | Q1 Instrument Choice Probability - CIE A Level Mathematics Q1 |
FRQ | 1 of 3 parts ((b)) | 2 of 5 on the paper |
Easy | Go to Practice Hub |
| 9709/53October/November 2021 · CIE IAL | Q7 Probability Tree Box Ball Transfer - CIE A-Level Maths 2021 Nov Paper 53 Q7 |
FRQ | 3 parts ((a), (b), (c)) | 10 | Medium | Go to Practice Hub |
| 9709/51May/June 2021 · CIE IAL | Q4 College Entry Probability and Tree Diagram - CIE A-Level Math 2021 Jun Paper 51 Q4 |
FRQ | 1 of 3 parts ((c)) | 2 of 7 on the paper |
Easy | Go to Practice Hub |
| 9709/51May/June 2021 · CIE IAL | Q7 Tins Selection Discrete Random Variable - CIE A-Level Math 2021 Jun Paper 51 Q7 |
FRQ | 1 of 3 parts ((a)) | 2 of 9 on the paper |
Medium | Go to Practice Hub |
| 9709/52May/June 2021 · CIE IAL | Q3 Travel Method and Lateness - CIE Probability & Statistics 1 Q3 |
FRQ | 1 of 2 parts ((b)) | 3 of 6 on the paper |
Medium | Go to Practice Hub |
| 9709/53May/June 2021 · CIE IAL | Q7 Broadband Quality Statistics - CIE Mathematics 2021 Jun Paper 53 Q7 |
FRQ | 1 of 4 parts ((a)(ii)) | 2 of 11 on the paper |
Easy | Go to Practice Hub |
| 9709/52March 2021 · CIE IAL | Q2 Georgie's Scarves and Hats - CIE 9709 March 2021 Paper 52 Q2 |
FRQ | 1 of 2 parts ((b)) | 3 of 5 on the paper |
Easy | Go to Practice Hub |
| 9709/51October/November 2020 · CIE IAL | Q2 Music College Band and Choir - CIE Mathematics 2020 Nov Paper 51 Q2 |
FRQ | 2 parts ((a), (b)) | 5 | Medium | Go to Practice Hub |
| 9709/51October/November 2020 · CIE IAL | Q4 Discrete Random Variable Transformation - CIE Mathematics 2020 Nov Paper 51 Q4 |
FRQ | 1 of 2 parts ((b)) | 2 of 6 on the paper |
Medium | Go to Practice Hub |
| 9709/52October/November 2020 · CIE IAL | Q2 Probability Distribution of Red Balls - CIE A-Level Mathematics 2020 Nov Paper 52 Q2 |
FRQ | 1 of 3 parts ((a)) | 2 of 7 on the paper |
Easy | Go to Practice Hub |
| 9709/52October/November 2020 · CIE IAL | Q4 Weather Transitions Tree Diagram - CIE A-Level Mathematics 2020 Nov Paper 52 Q4 |
FRQ | 1 of 4 parts ((d)) | 3 of 9 on the paper |
Easy | Go to Practice Hub |
| 9709/53October/November 2020 · CIE IAL | Q5 Arrangements of RESERVED - CIE 9709 W20 P53 Q5 |
FRQ | 1 of 2 parts ((b)) | 4 of 7 on the paper |
Medium | Go to Practice Hub |
| 9709/51May/June 2020 · CIE IAL | Q5 Evening Meal Tree Diagram - CIE A-Level Maths 2020 Jun Paper 51 Q5 |
FRQ | 1 of 3 parts ((c)) | 4 of 8 on the paper |
Easy | Go to Practice Hub |
| 9709/52May/June 2020 · CIE IAL | Q2 Student College and Sport Preferences - CIE A-Level Maths 2020 Jun Paper 52 Q2 |
FRQ | 1 of 3 parts ((b)) | 2 of 5 on the paper |
Easy | Go to Practice Hub |
| 9709/53May/June 2020 · CIE IAL | Q1 Juan's Travel to College - CIE A-Level Maths 2020 Jun Paper 53 Q1 |
FRQ | 2 parts ((a), (b)) | 6 | Easy | Go to Practice Hub |
| 9709/52March 2020 · CIE IAL | Q6 Probability Tree Diagram for Box Selection - CIE 9709 S1 2020 Mar Paper 52 Q6 |
FRQ | 1 of 3 parts ((c)) | 4 of 9 on the paper |
Easy | Go to Practice Hub |
Related topic questions in Probability
• evaluate probabilities in simple cases by means of enumeration of equiprobable elementary events, or by calculation using permutations or combinations
192 marks · 2020–2026
• understand the meaning of exclusive and independent events, including determination of whether events and are independent by comparing the values of and
34 marks · 2020–2026
• use addition and multiplication of probabilities, as appropriate, in simple cases
253 marks · 2020–2026
Topic question rules and edge cases
- How many topic questions cover this syllabus point?
- 52 question stems cover this subtopic across 46 papers, but only 69 tagged parts and 201 marks belong to it. Other parts of the same questions are assessed under different statements and are excluded from this page.
- Which papers include this subtopic?
- The table lists every matching session from 2020–2026. Each row links to the question anchor on the paper page, where the full paper context and practice entry point are available.
- Why can one question appear under several subtopics?
- The parts of one question can assess different syllabus statements. Each part is counted under its own subtopics, so the same question stem can appear on several subtopic pages while each page lists only the parts and marks tagged to that statement.
- Can I practise these questions with AI marking?
- Yes. Open a paper from the table and use the Interactive Practice Hub entry point. The page itself is static HTML so search engines and retrieval agents can read the full question list without executing JavaScript.